Designed to promote sustainable community

The Town of Cochrane has launched a new campaign that encourages residents to shop local and support the community as a place to live, work and play.

Dubbed Proudly Cochrane, the initiative is designed to highlight the shopping opportunities that exist within the town of more than 20,000 residents, said economic development manager Mike Korman.

"It's really about being proud to come home from wherever we work and to shop at the local stores – (to) just sort of create a little buzz," he said, noting the campaign is supported through the hashtag #shopcochrane on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram, as well as via testimonials at www.cochrane.ca/ShopCochrane.

Higher inventory levels consistent throughout surrounding area

Alberta's economic downturn caught up with the residential housing industry outside of Calgary in the third quarter as price declined for the first time in 2015, says a new report from CREB®.

Despite the slight scale back, prices remained relatively resilient when compared to double-digit declines in sales that sparked a rise in inventory levels.

In its latest surrounding area quarterly summary, CREB® reported benchmark prices from July to September fell by 0.41 per cent from the previous quarter to $433,033. That compares to gains realized in the two previous quarters.

How Calgary fits into parties' promises

As part of the build-up to the upcoming federal election, the City of Calgary has published a new edition of its Cities Matter survey.

Since 2011, Mayor Naheed Nenshi (on behalf of Council and the City) has surveyed candidates and parties during provincial elections to better understand their positions on municipal issues.

CREB®Now delves into some of the issues surrounding Calgary and the responses provided by Canada's major political parties.

Will an increase in vacancy rates push down housing demand? 

Calgary has long had a reputation as a difficult place to rent – a reputation confirmed for much of last year when the city's vacancy rate hovered below one per cent.

Yet market uncertainty brought upon by oil patch woes have painted a much different picture in 2015, with Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. (CMHC) reporting vacancy rates in the city as high as 3.2 per cent.

While good news for renters, it poses as potential bad news for home sellers, notes ATB Financial chief economist Todd Hirsch.

Speaking as part of Calgary Economic Development's (CED) 2016 Economic Outlook, Bank of Canada governor Stephen S. Poloz laid out his forecast for Canada's economy in the upcoming year.
With more than 1,500 on hand for the presentation, Poloz touched on some of the factors that have seen Canada's economy get off to a less-than-stellar start this year.
CREB®Now takes a look at some of the key points from CED's outlook.

GDP
Having seen two consecutive quarters of GDP decline, Canada's economy currently fits the definition of being in a recession. Looking forward, TD forecasts call for an annual growth rate of
1.2 per cent in 2015, followed by two per cent gains in 2016 and 2017.

Employment
Speaking on downsizings in Calgary's energy sector, CED president and chief executive Mary Moran said more layoffs should be expected, calling it the most challenging time for the city since the mid-1980s. ATB economist Todd Hirsch has predicted unemployment rate in the province could reach 7.5 per cent, which would be the highest rate seen since 2009.

Buying decisions encouraged by favourable conditions

Timing, they say, is everything.

Just ask Patrick Yeung and Jenny Hoa, who are selling their individual condos and moving into a newly constructed home in the northwest community of Symons Gate later this year.

"It was a coincidence – perfect timing," said Yeung of buyer-friendly market conditions currently in Calgary's residential resale housing market.

"We'd already decided we wanted to get a home together, but the timing just fell together."

Although Yeung and Hoa work across the city from the deep-northwest community (he near Marlborough Mall, she near Chinook Centre), both of their condos are in the Panorama-Kincora area, and both wanted to stay in the region to be close to friends and family.

Americans and Albertans alike looking to the mountains for recreation homes

The old truism of "location, location, location" applies as equally to recreation property as it does to a good piece of primary real estate. And it may become even more important in a tight economy.

Alberta's recreational property market — much of it located in the mountain areas and lakes within an hour and a half of Calgary — continues, at least for now, to be fairly strong.

With the decreasing Canadian dollar, American buyers coming from a healthier economy are once again looking at Alberta property while local buyers may be seeking cottage life closer to home.

As Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.'s market analyst for Calgary, Richard Cho is tasked with keeping tabs on the housing market in one of Canada's most dynamic cities.

CREB®Now caught up with Cho to talk about the economy, what's in store for Calgary's real estate sector and why he enjoys calling the city home.

CREB®Now: ?How are current energy prices affecting the city of Calgary?

CHO: A large part of Calgary's economy is tied to the performance of the energy industry. The decline in oil prices has posed some challenges for many oil companies, resulting in reductions to capital expenditures, hiring freezes, and layoffs. This has also impacted many other industries, from large companies to small business owners, that either directly or indirectly benefit from the energy sector. While there are still areas of Calgary's economy that are holding steady and creating jobs, overall economic activity is expected to slow down this year.

Outside factors will impact housing market through 2016

With the sun in Calgary rising and falling relative to the price of a barrel, it should be no surprise that the city's real estate market will continue to be impacted by economic realities beyond its control, say housing analysts.

Following a first half that can best be described as turbulent, the remainder of 2015 looks to bring more of the same for the city's housing market, with CREB®'s mid-year forecast update suggesting decreases across the board, including moderate price contraction.

"Further job losses are expected in the second half of the year," said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie.

"These employment changes, combined with overall weakness and slower-than-anticipated recovery of oil prices, are expected to keep housing demand relatively weak for the rest of 2015.

Roller-coaster ride to start 2015 ended with more balanced conditions

The arrival of 2015 was bound to signal a change of pace for Calgary's resale real estate industry, which had just wrapped a bow around a banner 2014.

In fact, with oil prices showing signs of deteriorating toward the end of 2014, December's four per cent sales decline – following 11 consecutive months of sales increases –was really a sign of things to come.

"Changes in the economic climate are expected to cool housing market conditions in 2015, and December activity may be the first indication of this shift," said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie at the time.

That change came early and it came swift, with sales falling by more than 30 per cent in January to five-year lows even though new listings maintained their upward momentum by increasing by 37 per cent compared to the same period last year.