January 2022: Sellers' market conditions continue to impact prices

Thanks to persistently strong sales, inventory levels in the city eased to 2,620 units, the lowest levels seen since 2006. This caused the months of supply to remain exceptionally low for this time of year at 1.3 months.

The tight market conditions contributed to further upward pressure on prices. The unadjusted benchmark price in January reached $472,300, a monthly gain of nearly two per cent and a year-over-year gain of 12 per cent.

“Expected gains in lending rates are contributing to persistently strong demand in the housing market, as purchasers are eager to get ahead of any increases,” said CREB^® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie.

“We did see more listings this month, but it did little to change the market balance or take any pressure off prices. This was expected, as these conditions should persist for several more months.”

There were 2,009 sales in January, well below record levels, but over 98 per cent higher than long-term trends. At the same time, 2,476 new listings came onto the market, resulting in a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 81 per cent. This is far higher than levels traditionally recorded in January.

Detached

New listings improved in January, reaching 1,295 units. However, with 1,148 sales in the month, inventory levels continued to fall. Limited levels of supply are likely preventing stronger sales growth for this property type. Detached inventory levels fell to a new record low at 895 units and for the second month in a row the months of supply remained below one month.

The exceptionally tight conditions caused prices to rise. In January, the unadjusted benchmark price rose by $12,000 compared with December, a monthly gain of over two per cent and a year-over-year gain of 14 per cent. While the gains compared with January 2021 are significant, much of last year’s price growth did not occur until the spring.

Semi-Detached

January saw a boost in new listings compared to the low levels seen at the end of 2021. This helped support further gains in sales. Despite the increase in new listings, inventory levels remained relatively low. With only 242 units in inventory, levels are 46 per cent lower than longer-term trends. Low inventories and strong sales resulted in a months of supply of just over one month, far lower than both last year and longer-term averages.

The tight market conditions caused prices to trend up compared with last month, resulting in a January benchmark price of $439,900. Prices trended up in every district, but the monthly gains were not as high in the North West and City Centre as they were in the rest of the city.

Row

January row sales rose to 305 units, more than double the levels traditionally seen at this time of year. The improvement in sales was related to the level of new listings this month. New listings are still lower than traditional levels, but they did rise from figures seen over the last few months of 2021. Inventories eased slightly compared to last month, but with only 422 units in inventory, supply levels remain well below long term-trends. As a result, the market continues to favour the seller.

Persistently tight market conditions caused prices to increase for row-style properties. However, the pace of growth was not as high as what we’ve seen in the detached segment of the market. January’s benchmark price reached $305,600, nearly two per cent higher than last month and nine per cent higher than last year.

Apartment Condominium

With 357 sales in January, levels were the highest they have been for the month since 2007. The improvement in sales was supported by the number of new listings that came onto the market. In January, there were 551 new listings added to the market. With just over 1,000 units in inventory, there is more supply available in the apartment condominium sector than in any other sector. Despite the improvement in sales, the months of supply has remained at three months, reflecting relatively balanced conditions.

With fewer supply challenges in this market, prices have remained relatively unchanged compared to last month. The unadjusted benchmark price of $251,200 in this sector is over two per cent higher than last year.

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie

Despite persistently low inventory levels, sales activity rose to near-record highs for January. The gains in sales were possible due to the boost in new listings in January compared with levels recorded over the past few months. However, given the persistently low inventory levels, the market remains in strong sellers’ market conditions with less than one month of supply.

Persistently tight market conditions continue to place upward pressure on prices. In January, the total residential benchmark price rose by nearly three per cent over last month to $408,900. Most of the increase was due to significant gains recorded for both detached and semi-detached homes.

Cochrane

Sales in Cochrane hit record high levels for January. The growth was supported by gains in new listings relative to what was available over the last few months of 2021. The monthly gains in new listings helped keep inventory levels relatively stable, but with only 62 units available in inventory, levels are over 70 per cent lower than what we traditionally see in the market. The strong sales and low inventory levels kept the months of supply below one month, the lowest ever recorded for January in Cochrane.

The tight market conditions continue to place upward pressure on prices. In January, the benchmark price for a detached home rose to $512,900. Due to strong monthly gains occurring at the end of last year, the monthly growth was not as high as what was seen in some other regional markets.

Okotoks

Sales activity remained relatively strong in Okotoks, despite persistently low inventory levels. In January, there were 38 units in inventory, the lowest levels ever seen for the month and 76 per cent lower than long-term averages. With 43 sales this month and 38 units in inventory, the months of supply remained exceptionally tight at under one month.

Okotoks has not faced conditions this tight since 2006 and it is causing upward pressure on prices. In January, the detached benchmark price rose to $515,100, a significant increase compared with last month and over eight per cent higher than last year.

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Tagged: CREB® | Housing Market | Statistics