CREB® chief economist walks through often-overlooked housing statistics

Months of supply is a statistic that often gets lost in today's housing market, yet it is an important indicator of the relationship between supply and demand, says CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie.

"It gives us one indication of balance in the market," she said of months of supply, which is the amount of time it would take to sell current inventory.

"If the number is really high – so you have a higher level of months-of-supply – that essentially just means that there's more supply than demand in the market and it generally correlates with declining prices in the market.

RECA emphasizes top priority is consumer protection

The Real Estate Council of Alberta (RECA) is reminding real estate professionals in the province to always discuss deposit arrangements with their clients in response to one Calgary brokerage recently closing and another one winding down operations.

The provincial regulatory body also advised professionals in the province to continue showing sellers' listings, even if they are listed by a brokerage that is shutting down, and to let buyers into their listings.

RECA communications manager Natalie Scollard said the organization's primary role when a brokerage shuts down is consumer protection.

New report paints mid-term picture

RBC Economics economist Craig Wright and Robert Hogue say the provincial recession continues to weigh on housing demand in Calgary, and such weakness is increasingly undermining prices.

In the bank's Canadian Housing Health Check released this week, the report's authors note the drop in property values has been generally modest to date; however, the pace of decline has accelerated and further downside remains.

Here are five things to know about contributors to Calgary's housing health so far this year:

Ellyn Mendham credits teaching background to industry leadership

Ellyn Mendham describes her entry into real estate as a "fluke."

Originally an elementary school teacher in Philadelphia, then Nova Scotia, Mendham's credentials did not immediately transfer when she moved to Alberta.

"I needed to work and produce an income, and at the time I thought I would go back to teaching later," said Mendham. "By fluke, I got into real estate."

But after making her first sale – a home that went for $42,000 in 1975 – she quickly realized she loved the industry.

Supply gains contribute to inventory rise in soft housing market: CREB®

Calgary's residential resale housing market continued to exhibit signs of softness last month, according to CREB®.

The real estate board noted in its most recent housing summary that inventory levels continued to rise in May due to an increase in new listings and decrease in sales.

As a result, the benchmark price in the city decreased for the eighth consecutive month to $439,700. May's price represents a 0.3 per cent decline from last month, and four per cent from last year.

For the full report, click here.

ARRIVE at Bowness caters to attainable housing needs

Attainable Homes Calgary Corp. (AHCC), in partnership with Partners Development Group, recently lifted the veil on ARRIVE at Bowness, a new BuiltGreen townhouse development in city's northwest.

AHCC acquired the land from the City of Calgary when the organization was created in 2009. It has been planning the development with input from local residents for several years.

AHCC president and CEO John Harrop said the project's design was inspired by its surroundings.

Over the past five decades, Calgary's real estate industry has been bare to it all – from double-digit interest rates to densification. Continuing until the end of 2016, CREB®Now will weave together an incredible narrative of how the local housing industry has evolved through the unique perspectives of CREB®'s 30 remaining past presidents.

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Diane Scott's recalls her year as CREB® president in 2010 as one of contention, highlighted by a very public battle between the federal competition watchdog and the country's national real estate association.

Dubbed the "Competition Bureau years," Scott said the debate around what the bureau deemed "anti-competitive real estate rules," which it said limited consumer choice and prevented innovation, shook up the industry then, and its results have reverberated even to today.

"It had everyone pretty riled up," she remembered. "It was a very, very tough year for REALTORS® to understand the models were to be accepted, regardless of what model it was."

Tips on who is responsible and for what

The smoke continues to clear from the devastating wildfire in Fort McMurray, which, at one point, was estimated to be three times the size of Edmonton.

While it could still be weeks or even months before resident are able to return to the city, landlords and tenants will have questions before then. The Centre for Public Legal Education Alberta (CPLEA) is offering these five tips:

CMHC forecasts slowdown in new home construction

Calgary housing starts are forecast to decline for the second consecutive year in 2016, according to a new report.

In its semi-annual housing market outlook released today, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. (CMHC) noted reduced investments and layoffs in the energy industry due to low oil prices have spread and have impacted labour market conditions across many different industries. Elevated unemployment rates will slow down migration and income growth, while employment is expected to decline. As a result, housing demand will continue to deteriorate this year.

This, combined with a rise in inventory, will reduce the pace of new home construction. Total housing starts in 2016 will range between 8,400 and 9,400 units, down from 13,033 units in 2015.

CMHC expects renters to benefit from soft economic conditions

Rental vacancy rates in Calgary will rise to seven per cent by this fall, up from 5.3 per cent during the same time last year, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. (CMHC).

In its semi-annual housing market outlook released today, CMHC said two-bedroom rents are forecast to average $1,270 in October 2016, compared to $1,332 in October 2015.

"A rise in the purpose-built rental vacancy rate along will additional options in the secondary rental market will put downward pressure on rents this year," said the report. "Although incentives will continue to be offered, some landlords will also lower rents to attract tenants."

By the fall of 2017, CMHC expects the vacancy rate in the city to decline back to 5.5 per cent. The two-bedroom rent, meanwhile, is forecast to average $1,260.