Supply gains contribute to inventory rise in soft housing market: CREB®

Calgary's residential resale housing market continued to exhibit signs of softness last month, according to CREB®.

The real estate board noted in its most recent housing summary that inventory levels continued to rise in May due to an increase in new listings and decrease in sales.

As a result, the benchmark price in the city decreased for the eighth consecutive month to $439,700. May's price represents a 0.3 per cent decline from last month, and four per cent from last year.

For the full report, click here.

CMHC report forecasts buyers' conditions will continue in 2016/17

Calgary housing prices will continue to decline in 2016, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. (CMHC), which predicts the average MLS® residential price in the city will range between $444,500 and $449,500, compared to $453,814 in 2015.

In its semi-annual housing market outlook, released today, CMHC also said it detected moderate evidence of overvaluation as house prices have not been fully supported by economic and demographic fundamentals.

In 2017, house prices in the resale market are anticipated to gradually stabilize as the market shifts to more balanced levels. Improvements in economic conditions and housing demand combined with less supply will help support home prices, said CMHC.

The MLS® average residential price in 2017 is forecast to range from $450,400 to $455,600.

Sales dip in Airdrie and Okotoks while Cochrane activity on the rise

Calgary's regional resale residential housing market didn't fare much better than its larger urban counterpart in April, posting sales declines almost across the board, according to CREB®.

Year-to-date sales in Airdrie eased by nearly eight per cent over last year's levels to 405 transactions, but remained higher than long-term averages, the board recently reported in its monthly regional roundup.

Benchmark prices in Calgary's neighbour to the north decreased by three per cent from last year to $363,400, and overall remained more than two per cent below the highs recorded in 2015.

April housing sales tell different stories for districts 

While the sun might be shining in Calgary this spring, this city's resale residential housing market was overshadowed by another month of declining sales and prices in April, according to CREB®.

However, despite inclement conditions, some areas of the city and segments of the market emerged as bright spots, with several posting double-digit sales increases, the board reported in its recent monthly housing summary.
Calgary's West district recorded 128 detached sales in April, a nearly 31 per cent increase when compared to last year. It was followed by the North West, which posted a 20 per cent increase in detached sales with 187 units, the North at more than 11 per cent to 166 detached sales and City Centre at nearly four per cent to 111 detached units.

"Our market is incredibly diverse, and these numbers verify that. Different areas and price points have and will continue to react divergently to economic conditions," said CREB® president Cliff Stevenson.

By the numbers

Calgary's housing market has remained relatively unchanged this spring. With reoccurring year-over-year sales declines and benchmark price reductions receiving most of the attention, CREB®Now takes a closer look at some of the overlooked numbers to come out of the city's real estate market.

46
According to CREB®'s latest housing numbers, the average time a listing spent on the market before finding a new owner stood at 46 days in April. That's up from 43 days in March and 40 days in April 2015. With 3,127 homes in Calgary's inventory, the city currently has 2.76 months of supply, with a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 62 per cent.

Sellers continue to adjust pricing expectations

Market imbalance in Calgary's residential resale housing market continued to weigh on citywide prices in April, according to CREB®.

In its monthly housing summary released today, the board reported that, much like the previous month, year-over-year sales fell while new listings increased, resulting in inventory gains across all sectors of the market.

As a result, benchmark prices in the city declined by 0.4 per cent from last month, and 3.4 per cent from last year, to $441,000.

For the full release, click here.

Calgary's real estate market, by the numbers

Calgary's resale residential housing market in February was virtually unchanged from previous months, highlighted by sales declines, inventory gains and, ultimately, price softness.

CREB®Now breaks down some of the key statistics to come out of CREB®'s monthly housing summary.

$445,000
The benchmark price for a home in Calgary last month was $445,000, a 0.6 per cent decline over January and 3.5 per cent lower than levels recorded last year.

Monthly prices decline for fifth consecutive month: CREB

February sales totaled 1,127 units in Calgary, a 6.63 per cent drop over last year and 37 per cent lower than long-term averages for the month, according to CREB®.

In its monthly housing summary, CREB® reported citywide unadjusted benchmark prices totaled $445,000 last month, a 0.63 per cent decline over January and 3.45 per cent lower than levels recorded last year.

"Slow sales and elevated housing inventory has resulted in further price declines," said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie. "Given the current economic environment, it is no surprise that consumer confidence and housing demand is being impacted."

City leads country in sales, price declines: report

Canada's resale residential housing markets illustrated further signs of regional disparities in January, with sales and prices up in hot markets such as Toronto and B.C.'s Lower Mainland yet down in others such as Calgary and Edmonton, according to a new report from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA).

Sales in Calgary last month fell by 14 per cent to 1,049 units, representing the sharpest year-over-year decline among all major urban centres in Canada. Edmonton also saw a sharp 9.7 per cent decrease in the number of sales to 777 units.

In contrast, Greater Vancouver saw sales pick up by 30.3 per cent to 2,626 units and Greater Toronto Area (GTA) by 7.3 per cent to 4,672.

Understanding the lingo

CREB® released its regional housing market statistics earlier this week for January, showing the residential housing market is continued to be challenged by energy sector uncertainty. But what does it mean for homeowners?

CREB®Now breaks down the lingo in this week's "Five Things" feature.

Sales
CREB® reported that sales of all housing types in Calgary are down 13 per cent from last January to 763 units. By segment, however, a slightly different story begins to unfold. While sales in the detached market decreased by an identical 13 per cent, the attached sector dropped by just over 10 per cent, while the apartment sector fell by a precipitous 16 per cent. For sellers, this shows which segments are more active than others – keeping in mind that the detached sector still represents nearly two-thirds of all sales activity.